Advancing for Change in Northern Nigeria

I think we now have a clearer picture of the 2023 General Elections.

If Peter Obi and Datti MUST succeed in the 2023 General Elections, it's mostly in the hands of NDAG, UK, its' affiliated Support Groups and the other Support Groups in the North.
 
Believe it or not, the 2023 General Elections may be determined by Kwankwaso and his Kwankwasiyya Red Caps.
The man from Kano has put a final nail in their political coffins by foreclosing any chances of alliance with Atiku or Tinubu.

Oh yes, Kwankwaso sees his chances and wants to take. Just maybe, he can cause disruptions if he cannot win outrightly.
This is because he knows what many Nigerians don't know especially those in the South, which are;
1. Over 30% of the total numbers of voters in Northern Nigeria comes from the neighboring countries.
Whilst the borders are said to be closed during elections, it's ONLY in Southern Nigeria.
Almost all the borders in not are not closed because there's no clear determined or marked out borders between Nigeria and the neighboring countries. e.g; the Niger State boarder with Benin Republic; the Kebbi State many boarders (more than five) with Benin Republic without any official markings; the entire northeast to northwest of Sokoto state shares close boarder with Niger Republic; same for Zamfara, Katsina, Jigawa, Yobe and Borno States.

2. The people in the other sides of the boarder share common cultures and lifestyles with their Nigerian counterparts so it's difficult to differentiate them. They even share common markets, farms and sometimes, prayer houses. Some of them who care so much for western health system, get their wives to deliver their babies in the neighboring Nigerian villages where there are Primary Health Care facilities.
The implication of this is that, they have easy access to Nigerian documents such as National Identity Cards, Voters Cards and even International Passports.

3. Now this is the joker....
While Kwankwaso was the Governor of Kano, he was busy extending hands of fellowship to those neighboring states by means of help, howbeit at a minimal level.
Immediately, he became the Minister of Defence, he began to help them on large scale even claiming that such assistance would make them loyal and helpful to Nigeria by not allowing enemies or terrorists to come in through their towns and villages.
He built schools, hospitals, mosques, sent seedlings, agricultural supports,  etc to them.
In a nut shell, he has been 'watering the ground' over there for a long time.

4. Majority of these neighbors NOW have valid Nigeria Voter's Card (PVC) and are very much ready to pay back to their benefactor.
There's a common saying over there now... "if this man can do all these for us while he was a small boss (Governor and Minister), how much more when he's the overall boss (President)?"

5. Nigerian Security Agencies would find it difficult to restrict these people from entering because of the cohabitation between them and their Nigerian neighbors.

6. Kwankwaso has also been playing a secret mind game up there, and the is that NO Hausa has ever ruled Nigeria (if you ask me of Murtala Mohammed, then I'll also ask you to explain the RAMAT in his name).
This game has begun to gather sentiments up there in the North however that angle is one of the last cards reserved for mid January to February leading to the General Elections.
That's why for now, Kwankwaso is only seen talking about education, securities, etc but when the last lap of the relay comes up, he'll release that joker.

7. RMK as he's fondly called therefore believes strongly that he would obstruct any Southern candidate especially Peter Obi from having the ⅔ majority needed in the North to win the General Elections thereby creating room for either re-run, run-off or whatever the constitution stipulates.
Remember the 1979 General Elections? Many people (especially the Yorubas) still cannot phantom how Alhaji Shehu Shagari became the President of the Federal Republic of Nigeria.
It's simple, Chief Obafemi Awolowo did not win by ⅔ majority so they went a second round (maybe something similar to Electoral College  as it is in the United States) and Alhaji Shehu Shagari got the victory. Again because there's more representation of the North than there is for the South in the the three tiers of Government.
You can check by the numbers of Legislators in the National Assembly (let's leave that topic for another day).

SUMMARY
Kwankwaso is now seen in many quarters in the North as the most beautiful bride, and he must be protected at all costs!

CONCLUSIONS
This is where NDAG-UK, its affiliated Support Groups and other ObiDatti/Labor Party Support Groups in the North must wake up to break that line before it gathers more momentum.
Going forward, the following tactics should be adopted;
1.There's a serious need to be truthful and realistic amongst the the Obi-Datti Movement/Labor Party supporters.
Peter Obi only enjoys goodwill and sympathy from the North especially in the North Central.
In the core North, most of his supporters are largely Christians and disgruntled members of APC/PDP.
Hence, the target should be a minimum of 30% and above for each state in the core North and 60% and above in each State in the North Central.

2. Aggressive yet strategic campaigns should begin in the North.

3. In as much as discrimination should not be encouraged, however the the campaigns should be targeted primarily to non indigenes especially those who are living in the midst of the indigenes.... WHY? It'll be very difficult to disenfrachise them during elections through the BVS

4. Begin to sensitize as many as possible that 'handouts' is not the solution rather self empowerment in a safe country is the best way to go.

5. Strategically locate the non Muslim populace in the North both indigenes and non indigenes because many Muslims maybe influenced from the their places of prayer as this is recurring pattern in previous elections

As for NDAG-UK, and many in the diaspora, this maybe a clarion call to rescue their father land or a case of service to service to humanity or even a scenario of "Non sibi, sed aliis"